Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.007793 0.008754 0.009804 0.011038 0.012453 0.014027 0.015916
2025-02-09 0.006198 0.007489 0.009020 0.010981 0.013442 0.016450 0.020437
2025-02-16 0.005391 0.006831 0.008637 0.011088 0.014363 0.018636 0.024716
2025-02-23 0.004722 0.006211 0.008159 0.010930 0.014823 0.020183 0.028271
2025-03-02 0.004312 0.005859 0.007960 0.011073 0.015648 0.022262 0.032794
2025-03-09 0.003913 0.005467 0.007647 0.010992 0.016107 0.023826 0.036725
2025-03-16 0.003478 0.004973 0.007129 0.010537 0.015929 0.024371 0.039089
2025-03-23 0.003214 0.004701 0.006901 0.010484 0.016344 0.025864 0.043179
2025-03-30 0.003114 0.004660 0.007012 0.010961 0.017647 0.028940 0.050430
2025-04-06 0.002842 0.004330 0.006642 0.010617 0.017535 0.029587 0.053370
2025-04-13 0.002613 0.004048 0.006323 0.010323 0.017469 0.030290 0.056494
2025-04-20 0.002463 0.003881 0.006175 0.010302 0.017876 0.031887 0.061586
2025-04-27 0.002403 0.003863 0.006281 0.010753 0.019229 0.035498 0.071559
2025-05-04 0.002256 0.003688 0.006110 0.010694 0.019625 0.037326 0.078122
2025-05-11 0.002150 0.003575 0.006034 0.010798 0.020343 0.039886 0.086773
2025-05-18 0.002016 0.003401 0.005833 0.010645 0.020521 0.041336 0.093087
2025-05-25 0.001936 0.003317 0.005788 0.010784 0.021313 0.044207 0.103402
2025-06-01 0.001833 0.003184 0.005640 0.010706 0.021634 0.046072 0.111536
2025-06-08 0.001692 0.002971 0.005328 0.010264 0.021117 0.045939 0.114376
2025-06-15 0.001611 0.002865 0.005210 0.010213 0.021458 0.047876 0.123262
2025-06-22 0.001596 0.002881 0.005332 0.010675 0.023023 0.053011 0.142355
2025-06-29 0.001493 0.002722 0.005093 0.010341 0.022686 0.053331 0.147282
2025-07-06 0.001402 0.002582 0.004886 0.010056 0.022436 0.053845 0.152935